Scenario 1: Maritime compliance costs are no longer confined to regional regulation. Based on current policy timelines and market assumptions, the industry’s annual compliance bill could rise from around USD 2.7 billion in 2024 to more than USD 57 billion by 2032, with the IMO framework becoming the largest driver of future cost exposure.
The full storyThe shipping industry is already at risk of significant fines, even before the FuelEU Maritime regulations take effect. It is particularly the lack of FuelEU clauses in charterparty agreements and pooling arrangements that causes costs to accumulate.
The EU ETS requires shipping companies to annually report emissions and surrender allowances. The polluter pays principle mandates that charterers, in time charter and spot voyage contracts take responsibility for emissions. This highlights the importance of contract terms and conditions between charterers and owners.
Early movers, who understand how to use the EU ETS as a strategic tool, do not wait for the first surrendering period of allowances but take advantage by engaging proactively. They understand that action must be taken today, as certain expenses are already incurred, and affecting contracts and negotiations.
